Living the Dream
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Dreaming the dream and living it are two different things. One is
based on fantasy and the other on reality. To live the dream, you
have come to the realization that short trading is like nothing you
have ever experienced. The reality is that short-term trading is going
to be one of the hardest things you have ever done, and without the
proper training and psychological preparation, your stress level will
most likely be off the scale. Mental training and conditioning will be Living the dream successfully depends to a great extent on
you—and what kind of short-term trader you are. Identifying what
kind of short-term trader you are is critical to your entire trading
plan. I have trained over 4,000 individual traders from all over the
world. This group includes professional traders, hedge fund managers,
mutual fund managers, and the general public. The first two
questions I ask are as follows:
1. What kind of predator are you?
2. What is your time frame?
These questions have an important interrelationship. What kind of
predator are you? Knowing what kind of predator you are is very
important because the market is a food chain. In this food chain,
various predators are waiting to ambush you and devour your capthe ital. In order to develop the appropriate strategy, you must know
your enemies and how they think.
Short-term trading is divided into three different styles: day
trading, microtrend trading, and position trend trading. One reason
that short-term traders have such a high percentage of losses is that
they are trained to use a standard one-size-fits-all approach. Usually,
the entire focus of this approach is to follow short-term momentum
and order flow represented by the ticker. This type of trading is
referred to as scalping. There are two fundamental problems with
this approach. First, time and sales are usually late, which no one
addresses, and second, individuals are not all the same. Your trading
strategy needs to be tailored to your trading ability. What works
for someone else won't necessarily work for you. Another reason
for failure is that short-term traders, especially day traders, aren't
usually trained to screen for high-probability, high-profitability
trades. I am going to introduce you to seven short-term trading
strategies that are extremely successful. With seven strategies to
choose from, it is up to you to select those that fit your needs and
apply them. This leads us back to my first question. What kind of
predator are you? You have to determine what kind of trader you
are. Let's define the three types of short-term traders so that we all
understand specifically what we are talking about.
1. Day trader: A day trader by our definition is a trader who enters
the market at some point during the day and is totally in cash (flat)
by the end of the day. At no time does a day trader carry a position
overnight. Some day traders trade for fractions of a point—usually
1/ 16, 1/8. This is called scalping. This type of day trading has a high failure
rate. One out of a hundred thousand people can consistently
make money by scalping. You always hear about the exceptions,
don't you? The small profit per trade, commissions, slippage, and
the possibility of a series of losing trades, make scalping a technique
that may not be for you. You may be the exception, but don't
lose all your money trying to prove it. Not all day traders are
scalpers. For example, intraday trend traders will stay in a trade until
the trend reverses. This could take a few minutes or several hours.
Both types of day traders typically buy 500 to a 1,000 shares or
6 the strategic electronic day trader
more at a time and must be highly capitalized. The minimum day
trading capital for an individual trader is usually $50,000 to
$100,000. Day trading requires large amounts of operating capital.
Most day traders trade several times a day. It's not unusual for a
scalper to make 30 to 150 trades or more per day, while the intraday
trend traders will make 3 to 9 trades per day.
2. Microtrend trader: A microtrend trader by our definition is a
trader who takes a position with the intention of holding it for three
to five days. The microtrend trader is attempting to trade a small
part of a larger trend. A day trader never carries a position
overnight, but the microtrend trader does. Usually a stop is strategically
placed at the end of day to take the trader out if the trend
dramatically reverses. For microtrend trading to be successful the
entry must be made when the trend is strong. This usually occurs
when the trend is under way or begins explosively. The momentum
should carry the price for three to five days. Unlike the day trader
who trades for fractions, the microtrend trader typically trades for
points. After three to five days, the microtrend trader liquidates his
or her position and looks for another microtrend. The minimum
trading capital for an individual microtrend trader is usually
$30,000. Most microtrend traders are very well capitalized, with
trading accounts of $100,000 or more. The psychological stress on
the microtrend trader is, in most cases, far less than on a day trader,
because time is more an ally than an enemy.
3. Position trend trader: A position trader attempts to ride the
trend for 10 to 14 days or longer. A position trader usually takes a
position of size (large number of shares) and holds until another
position becomes more promising. If a trend is intact, the position
trader will roll up stops until the market takes them out. The intention
is to stay in the position for 10 to 14 days, but if the trend continues,
the position trader will stay with the trend as long as
possible. In many cases, a microtrend trader can become a position
trend trader if the three- to five-day holding-period trend explodes,
carrying prices further. Because position traders are in a trade for a
longer period of time, they must allow for price volatility and intelligent
stop placement. The minimum trading capital for a position trader varies. If you hold a position beyond one month, you are considered
an investor. According to this definition, most fund managers
are position traders. In many cases, institutional position
traders will add to their positions if they feel the long-term outlook
for the stock is positive. Position traders usually move the market
because of the collective size of their accumulation (buying) or distribution
(selling).
What is your time frame? It should become obvious that
understanding your time frame is critical to everything you do in
trading. Your trading strategy, application of technical indicators,
entry and exit, and so on, are determined by your individual time
frame. As a professional who trains individuals to trade, one of the
most amazing things I hear when I ask "What is your time frame?"
is "I don't know." The very definition of what kind of trader you are
is dependent on your concept of time as it relates to trading. Time
can be your friend or your enemy, and nothing makes the case
clearer than day trading. Each tick in real time, positive or negative,
amplifies stresses that exist in your mind. Everything is magnified,
and each moment becomes urgent. Decisions have to be
made on a second-by-second basis, and as each second passes,
another agonizing decision to buy, sell, or hold must be made. At
the end of the day, you feel as though you just completed a marathon.
Mentally and physically exhausted, you know that tomorrow
you must run this marathon again. Obviously, not everyone will
succeed as a day trader. This is proven by the failure rate of individuals
who attempt to day trade. Many would-be day traders fail
because the wrong trading strategy and methodology causes them
to overtrade. Many day traders are, in fact, gamblers and can't stop
trading. Success in day trading will come when you learn to effectively
slow down time. This is accomplished by making fewer
trades and selecting those with a higher probability of success and
a positive reward-to-risk ratio. In Chapter 3 you will be introduced
to various trading strategies. These strategies put time on your
side making it far less likely that you will become a market statistic.
Before you begin to trade with real money, you absolutely need to
define your time frame.
Dreaming the dream and living it are two different things. One is
based on fantasy and the other on reality. To live the dream, you
have come to the realization that short trading is like nothing you
have ever experienced. The reality is that short-term trading is going
to be one of the hardest things you have ever done, and without the
proper training and psychological preparation, your stress level will
most likely be off the scale. Mental training and conditioning will be Living the dream successfully depends to a great extent on
you—and what kind of short-term trader you are. Identifying what
kind of short-term trader you are is critical to your entire trading
plan. I have trained over 4,000 individual traders from all over the
world. This group includes professional traders, hedge fund managers,
mutual fund managers, and the general public. The first two
questions I ask are as follows:
1. What kind of predator are you?
2. What is your time frame?
These questions have an important interrelationship. What kind of
predator are you? Knowing what kind of predator you are is very
important because the market is a food chain. In this food chain,
various predators are waiting to ambush you and devour your capthe ital. In order to develop the appropriate strategy, you must know
your enemies and how they think.
Short-term trading is divided into three different styles: day
trading, microtrend trading, and position trend trading. One reason
that short-term traders have such a high percentage of losses is that
they are trained to use a standard one-size-fits-all approach. Usually,
the entire focus of this approach is to follow short-term momentum
and order flow represented by the ticker. This type of trading is
referred to as scalping. There are two fundamental problems with
this approach. First, time and sales are usually late, which no one
addresses, and second, individuals are not all the same. Your trading
strategy needs to be tailored to your trading ability. What works
for someone else won't necessarily work for you. Another reason
for failure is that short-term traders, especially day traders, aren't
usually trained to screen for high-probability, high-profitability
trades. I am going to introduce you to seven short-term trading
strategies that are extremely successful. With seven strategies to
choose from, it is up to you to select those that fit your needs and
apply them. This leads us back to my first question. What kind of
predator are you? You have to determine what kind of trader you
are. Let's define the three types of short-term traders so that we all
understand specifically what we are talking about.
1. Day trader: A day trader by our definition is a trader who enters
the market at some point during the day and is totally in cash (flat)
by the end of the day. At no time does a day trader carry a position
overnight. Some day traders trade for fractions of a point—usually
1/ 16, 1/8. This is called scalping. This type of day trading has a high failure
rate. One out of a hundred thousand people can consistently
make money by scalping. You always hear about the exceptions,
don't you? The small profit per trade, commissions, slippage, and
the possibility of a series of losing trades, make scalping a technique
that may not be for you. You may be the exception, but don't
lose all your money trying to prove it. Not all day traders are
scalpers. For example, intraday trend traders will stay in a trade until
the trend reverses. This could take a few minutes or several hours.
Both types of day traders typically buy 500 to a 1,000 shares or
6 the strategic electronic day trader
more at a time and must be highly capitalized. The minimum day
trading capital for an individual trader is usually $50,000 to
$100,000. Day trading requires large amounts of operating capital.
Most day traders trade several times a day. It's not unusual for a
scalper to make 30 to 150 trades or more per day, while the intraday
trend traders will make 3 to 9 trades per day.
2. Microtrend trader: A microtrend trader by our definition is a
trader who takes a position with the intention of holding it for three
to five days. The microtrend trader is attempting to trade a small
part of a larger trend. A day trader never carries a position
overnight, but the microtrend trader does. Usually a stop is strategically
placed at the end of day to take the trader out if the trend
dramatically reverses. For microtrend trading to be successful the
entry must be made when the trend is strong. This usually occurs
when the trend is under way or begins explosively. The momentum
should carry the price for three to five days. Unlike the day trader
who trades for fractions, the microtrend trader typically trades for
points. After three to five days, the microtrend trader liquidates his
or her position and looks for another microtrend. The minimum
trading capital for an individual microtrend trader is usually
$30,000. Most microtrend traders are very well capitalized, with
trading accounts of $100,000 or more. The psychological stress on
the microtrend trader is, in most cases, far less than on a day trader,
because time is more an ally than an enemy.
3. Position trend trader: A position trader attempts to ride the
trend for 10 to 14 days or longer. A position trader usually takes a
position of size (large number of shares) and holds until another
position becomes more promising. If a trend is intact, the position
trader will roll up stops until the market takes them out. The intention
is to stay in the position for 10 to 14 days, but if the trend continues,
the position trader will stay with the trend as long as
possible. In many cases, a microtrend trader can become a position
trend trader if the three- to five-day holding-period trend explodes,
carrying prices further. Because position traders are in a trade for a
longer period of time, they must allow for price volatility and intelligent
stop placement. The minimum trading capital for a position trader varies. If you hold a position beyond one month, you are considered
an investor. According to this definition, most fund managers
are position traders. In many cases, institutional position
traders will add to their positions if they feel the long-term outlook
for the stock is positive. Position traders usually move the market
because of the collective size of their accumulation (buying) or distribution
(selling).
What is your time frame? It should become obvious that
understanding your time frame is critical to everything you do in
trading. Your trading strategy, application of technical indicators,
entry and exit, and so on, are determined by your individual time
frame. As a professional who trains individuals to trade, one of the
most amazing things I hear when I ask "What is your time frame?"
is "I don't know." The very definition of what kind of trader you are
is dependent on your concept of time as it relates to trading. Time
can be your friend or your enemy, and nothing makes the case
clearer than day trading. Each tick in real time, positive or negative,
amplifies stresses that exist in your mind. Everything is magnified,
and each moment becomes urgent. Decisions have to be
made on a second-by-second basis, and as each second passes,
another agonizing decision to buy, sell, or hold must be made. At
the end of the day, you feel as though you just completed a marathon.
Mentally and physically exhausted, you know that tomorrow
you must run this marathon again. Obviously, not everyone will
succeed as a day trader. This is proven by the failure rate of individuals
who attempt to day trade. Many would-be day traders fail
because the wrong trading strategy and methodology causes them
to overtrade. Many day traders are, in fact, gamblers and can't stop
trading. Success in day trading will come when you learn to effectively
slow down time. This is accomplished by making fewer
trades and selecting those with a higher probability of success and
a positive reward-to-risk ratio. In Chapter 3 you will be introduced
to various trading strategies. These strategies put time on your
side making it far less likely that you will become a market statistic.
Before you begin to trade with real money, you absolutely need to
define your time frame.