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Epistemology and the Psychology of Human Judgment - Michael A Bishop
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Epistemology and the Psychology
of Human Judgment
J. D. Trout
1
2005
1
Oxford New York
Auckland Bangkok Buenos Aires Cape Town Chennai
Dar es Salaam Delhi Hong Kong Istanbul Karachi Kolkata
Kuala Lumpur Madrid Melbourne Mexico City Mumbai
Nairobi Sa˜o Paulo Shanghai Singapore Taipei Tokyo Toronto
Copyright # 2005 by Oxford University Press, Inc.
Published by Oxford University Press, Inc.
198 Madison Avenue, New York, New York 10016
www.oup.com
Oxford is a registered trademark of Oxford University Press
All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced,
stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted, in any form or by any means,
electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, or otherwise,
without the prior permission of Oxford University Press.
Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data
Bishop, Michael A
Epistemology and the psychology of human judgment / Michael A Bishop, J. D. Trout.
p. cm.
Includes bibliographical references and index.
ISBN 0-19-516229-3; 0-19-516230-7 (pbk.)
1. Judgment. I. Trout, J. D. II. Title.
BF441 .B616 2004
121—dc22 2004043889
9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1
Printed in the United States of America
on acid-free paper
To our wives, Loretta Torrago and Janice Nadler,
and to the veritable basketball team we produced while writing this book:
Miguel Bishop Torrago 7/5/2000
Daniel Bishop Torrago 9/26/2001
Nicolas Bishop Torrago 3/19/2003
Jack Nadler 7/5/2000
Jessie Nadler 4/14/2004
Miguel and Jack, our first children, were born on the same day. Our actuarial
outlook counsels that this is an unimpressive coincidence. But really, what are the
chances?
This page intentionally left blank
Epistemology and the Psychology of Human Judgment - Michael A Bishop
This page intentionally left blank
Epistemology and the Psychology
of Human Judgment
J. D. Trout
1
2005
1
Oxford New York
Auckland Bangkok Buenos Aires Cape Town Chennai
Dar es Salaam Delhi Hong Kong Istanbul Karachi Kolkata
Kuala Lumpur Madrid Melbourne Mexico City Mumbai
Nairobi Sa˜o Paulo Shanghai Singapore Taipei Tokyo Toronto
Copyright # 2005 by Oxford University Press, Inc.
Published by Oxford University Press, Inc.
198 Madison Avenue, New York, New York 10016
www.oup.com
Oxford is a registered trademark of Oxford University Press
All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced,
stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted, in any form or by any means,
electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, or otherwise,
without the prior permission of Oxford University Press.
Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data
Bishop, Michael A
Epistemology and the psychology of human judgment / Michael A Bishop, J. D. Trout.
p. cm.
Includes bibliographical references and index.
ISBN 0-19-516229-3; 0-19-516230-7 (pbk.)
1. Judgment. I. Trout, J. D. II. Title.
BF441 .B616 2004
121—dc22 2004043889
9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1
Printed in the United States of America
on acid-free paper
To our wives, Loretta Torrago and Janice Nadler,
and to the veritable basketball team we produced while writing this book:
Miguel Bishop Torrago 7/5/2000
Daniel Bishop Torrago 9/26/2001
Nicolas Bishop Torrago 3/19/2003
Jack Nadler 7/5/2000
Jessie Nadler 4/14/2004
Miguel and Jack, our first children, were born on the same day. Our actuarial
outlook counsels that this is an unimpressive coincidence. But really, what are the
chances?
This page intentionally left blank